Shortfall Forecast

12/04/08

Finance Commissioner Tom Hanson said "the economy has body slammed our budget."  The state has a shortfall of nearly $5 billion dollars.  Hanson called it a "dramatic deterioration" and with a new deficit in the current budget he urged action from the governor and lawmakers saying "the sooner we act the better off we are."

State Economist Tom Stinson say to use a technical terms "it's just plain ugly" the worst economy in 25 years and worst in most Minnesotan's memory.  It is not as bad as the Great Depression or even the farm crisis of the 80s for the state according to Stinson.   As he as long said before it was official "we're in a recession, but that's not news."  Corporate revenues are a big source of the bad news, ironically incomes are up, but fewer people are working so that doesn't help much.

Media, interest groups, lobbyists, lawmakers all scrambled to get the details.  The question many are asking is when will the governor unallot (that is unilaterally cut) he mentioned it would be weeks away if he and legislative leaders don't come to an agreement before the new year.  We're hearing meetings between the governor and legislative leaders will start at breakfast Friday.  Perhaps they'll do something we haven't seen and negotiate an unallotment.  If Pawlenty is running for president, unalloting makes him look like a strong leader as he heads into a session dominated by the DFL legislature.  

Democrats said it's a jobs problem and Senate Majority Leader Larry Pogemiller hinted that part of the solution will be firing the guy charged with jobs, Commissioner Dan McElroy who has not been confirmed by Senate.  JOBZ is also another likely target for legislative elimination.  So the sparring has begun while both sides are still vowing to work together.  We'll see...